AB/HR Ratio |
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In this climate of energy efficiency, one must do all that he or she can to power their everyday needs while saving as much of that energy as possible. In fantasy baseball, a team’s overall power is essential for survival. Being able to conserve your auction dollars and "power guy" picks on draft day, and getting that eventual late gem, is what will separate champs from chumps.
Sure, certain things are necessity in life, so we have to pay for them, much like there are certainties in baseball, which we too, have to pay for. Ryan Howard, Adam Dunn and Prince Fielder, to name a few, will be amongst the league leaders in home runs, we know this. We also know that like the energy we need, it costs a pretty penny, or over 200 of them per gallon at times.
So why not join the ranks of those who car pool, bike to work, use energy efficient light bulbs, and most importantly, find those efficiently priced soon to be heavy hitting power sources.
How can we do that you ask? How about AB:HR ratio? Home run to At Bat ratio is as simple and easy as it sounds. Basically, how many ABs does it take a batter to “go yard.” Easy.
The purpose of this stat is finding guys who may not have had the number of homers the above guys had, simple because they didn’t have nearly the amount of at bats. Take youth as the main factor, add in time in the minors here and there and injuries, and you can get an idea of who just may be able to pump out at least 30 dingers in ‘10, based on their ’09 AB:HR ratio.
First, let’s take a look at the leaderboard in AB:HR ratio from a year ago:
Carlos Pena was tied for the major league lead with one homer every 12.1 AB. Pena finished with the most homers in the AL (39) despite missing the final month. He's hit 46 before and enters a contract year in Tampa. Pena has averaged 39 HR over the last three seasons and could come closer to 50 if he stays healthy.
Albert Pujols also tied for the lead with a 12.1 AB/HR ratio last year. Pujols is the clear first overall pick and has averaged 37 HR over his first ten major league seasons!
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Who To Watch
The Indian to own in 2010 is Michael Brantley. He stole 46 bases in 51 attempts in the minors last year and shows the ability to take a walk. He may lead off and be followed by Choo and Sizemore in the lineup, which could lead to 100 runs scored. Brantley could provide McCutchen-like numbers, yet twelve rounds later.
The Indian to avoid in 2010 is Jhonny Peralta. No longer eliglbe at SS, he\'s become a marginal CI at best. His 10-20 HR power was a nice surprise as a MI, but as a CI it's hardly impressive. Add a .275 AVG and a lack of steals and you\'ve got a mediocre third baseman at best. Read More...
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SS Rankings:
1 Ramirez, Hanley SS FLA - In a tier all to himself at SS, scary part is that career year is still ahead
2 Tulowitzki, Troy SS COL - Just a solid everyday guy, his floor is 290 25 100 95 15, lumber liquidators got that?
3 Reyes, Jose B. SS NYM - Boom or bust here, could win you a league, if he can run, don't let him get past you in the 2nd
4 Rollins, Jimmy SS PHI - Contact rate shows average should rebound, 15/30 should be his floor
5 Jeter, Derek SS NYY - Boring yet great, really took to leading off last year with a spike in stolen bases; Read more...
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BABIP
BABIP can be defined as Batting Average on Balls In Play. This is a measure of the number of batted balls that safely fall in for a hit (not including home runs). A typical BABIP is about .290 for a pitcher. Today we'll examine certain pitchers who strayed from the mean in 2009.
While the mean is typically .290, 65% of starting pitchers in 2009 has a BABIP between .270 and .310. Those guys aren't far off the average. However, 35% of pitchers were. Who were they and what should you expect in 2010?
Those who should see an improvement in ERA in 2010
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