Overvalued Pitchers |
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Our offseason begins with the lucky pitchers. Sure, these guys can turn things around before 2010, but in 2009 their stats looked a lot better than they should have.
That being said, I'd avoid these guys on draft day since you will need to draft them a lot earlier than you should. Hence, the label "overvalued."
JA Happ is the #1 culprit on this list. The %@$& hit the fan last year towards the end, evidenced by his not being a part of the Phillies post-season rotation. His regular season made him a ROY candidate and a 2.93 ERA helped many who scooped him up off of the waiver wire. A closer look into his peripherals leave a lot to be desired. His ERC was 3.59 and his DIPS was 4.38, both significantly higher than his actual 2.93 ERA. His K/9 ratio was 6.45, which is middle of the pack, at best. While Happ might improve next year, he also might not. What most people will do on draft day is look at his 2.93 ERA and think of the Phillies high-powered offense and consider him as a #2 or #3 SP. Avoiding him in 2010 altogether is the safer bet, knowing that he didn't pitch as well as his numbers indicated in 2009.
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COMMENTS/
CONVERSATION |
by: Peterb | date: 11/24/2009 2:33 pmcould we get a comparison of future tim lincecum types, meaning young, raw, ultra talented SP types? like kershaw, gallardo, scherzer, etc..... | by: BrettG | date: 11/24/2009 2:32 pmKershaw is different than the aforementioned guys. He's got much more talent. Molded like Lincecum and Gallardo, he's got the ability to improve his game in a way that the other guys can't.
He may be overvalued, but I'll tab him as one of the few overvalued guys who may be worth reaching on.
I like him as a #3 SP, with two solid guys before him. | by: Peterb | date: 11/24/2009 2:28 pmHow about Kershaw, some sites are saying he's gonna be overrated because of his high BB rates.... what say ye? |
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